Opinion Poll by AKO, 14–17 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 25.0% 29.9% 28.1–31.8% 27.6–32.3% 27.1–32.8% 26.3–33.7%
SMER–sociálna demokracia 18.3% 18.3% 16.8–20.0% 16.4–20.4% 16.0–20.8% 15.3–21.6%
SME RODINA 8.2% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Sloboda a Solidarita 6.2% 9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
Progresívne Slovensko 7.0% 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 8.0% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 3.9% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 4.6% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.9–4.8% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.5%
Za ľudí 5.8% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1% 2.1–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
Slovenská národná strana 3.2% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Dobrá voľba 3.1% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
VLASŤ 2.9% 1.9% 1.4–2.6% 1.3–2.8% 1.2–3.0% 1.0–3.3%
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 7.0% 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
MOST–HÍD 2.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.3–1.3% 0.2–1.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti 53 51 51–53 51–54 51–56 51–60
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 35 35 34–35 32–35 29–35
SME RODINA 17 21 19–21 19–21 19–21 15–22
Sloboda a Solidarita 13 17 17 17–20 17–20 15–20
Progresívne Slovensko 0 13 13 11–13 0–13 0–14
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko 17 13 13 11–13 11–13 10–14
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja 0 0 0 0–9 0–11 0–11
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie 0 0 0 0 0 0
Za ľudí 12 0 0 0 0 0
Slovenská národná strana 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dobrá voľba 0 0 0 0 0 0
VLASŤ 0 0 0 0 0 0
SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia 0 0 0 0 0 0
MOST–HÍD 0 0 0 0 0 0

OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.8%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0.1% 99.7%  
50 0.1% 99.6%  
51 88% 99.6% Median
52 0.1% 12%  
53 5% 12% Last Result
54 4% 7%  
55 0.2% 3%  
56 0.9% 3%  
57 0.9% 2%  
58 0.1% 0.9%  
59 0.3% 0.8%  
60 0.1% 0.5%  
61 0.1% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.2% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.3%  
31 0.7% 99.0%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.5% 96%  
34 0.2% 95%  
35 95% 95% Median
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SME RODINA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.9% 99.9%  
16 0.2% 99.0%  
17 0.6% 98.9% Last Result
18 0.4% 98%  
19 9% 98%  
20 0.7% 89%  
21 88% 88% Median
22 0.3% 0.6%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0.2% 0.2%  
25 0% 0%  

Sloboda a Solidarita

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100% Last Result
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 1.4% 99.9%  
16 0.5% 98%  
17 88% 98% Median
18 3% 10%  
19 0.6% 7%  
20 6% 6%  
21 0% 0.2%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0.1%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Progresívne Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 0% 96%  
2 0% 96%  
3 0% 96%  
4 0% 96%  
5 0% 96%  
6 0% 96%  
7 0% 96%  
8 0% 96%  
9 0.3% 96%  
10 0.3% 95%  
11 0.9% 95%  
12 3% 94%  
13 91% 91% Median
14 0.4% 0.6%  
15 0.1% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0% 99.7%  
8 0% 99.7%  
9 0% 99.7%  
10 1.1% 99.7%  
11 5% 98.5%  
12 0.5% 94%  
13 92% 93% Median
14 0.9% 1.1%  
15 0.1% 0.1%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0% Last Result

Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 94% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 6%  
2 0% 6%  
3 0% 6%  
4 0% 6%  
5 0% 6%  
6 0% 6%  
7 0% 6%  
8 0% 6%  
9 1.2% 6%  
10 0.3% 4%  
11 4% 4%  
12 0% 0%  

Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.4%  
2 0% 0.4%  
3 0% 0.4%  
4 0% 0.4%  
5 0% 0.4%  
6 0% 0.4%  
7 0% 0.4%  
8 0% 0.4%  
9 0.4% 0.4%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Za ľudí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0%  
5 0% 0%  
6 0% 0%  
7 0% 0%  
8 0% 0%  
9 0% 0%  
10 0% 0%  
11 0% 0%  
12 0% 0% Last Result

Slovenská národná strana

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Dobrá voľba

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

VLASŤ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

MOST–HÍD

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana 72 69 0% 67–69 65–69 63–69 57–69
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA 55 56 0% 54–56 54–56 51–56 47–56
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana 55 56 0% 54–56 54–56 51–56 47–56
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD 38 35 0% 35 34–35 32–35 29–35
SMER–sociálna demokracia 38 35 0% 35 34–35 32–35 29–35
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana 38 35 0% 35 34–35 32–35 29–35

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 1.1% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 98.8%  
59 0.1% 98%  
60 0.1% 98%  
61 0.4% 98%  
62 0.1% 98%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 2% 97%  
65 5% 96%  
66 0.1% 91%  
67 3% 91%  
68 0.1% 88%  
69 88% 88% Median
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
73 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 1.2% 99.6%  
48 0.2% 98%  
49 0.1% 98%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 2% 98%  
52 0.4% 96%  
53 0.1% 95%  
54 7% 95%  
55 0.1% 88% Last Result
56 88% 88% Median
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.3% 100%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 1.2% 99.6%  
48 0.2% 98%  
49 0.1% 98%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 2% 98%  
52 0.4% 96%  
53 0.1% 95%  
54 7% 95%  
55 0.1% 88% Last Result
56 88% 88% Median
57 0.2% 0.4%  
58 0% 0.2%  
59 0% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana – MOST–HÍD

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.3%  
31 0.7% 99.0%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.5% 96%  
34 0.2% 95%  
35 95% 95% Median
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.3%  
31 0.7% 99.0%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.5% 96%  
34 0.2% 95%  
35 95% 95% Median
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0% 99.7%  
29 0.3% 99.7%  
30 0.3% 99.3%  
31 0.7% 99.0%  
32 3% 98%  
33 0.5% 96%  
34 0.2% 95%  
35 95% 95% Median
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.2%  
38 0% 0.2% Last Result
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0.1% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations