Opinion Poll by FOCUS, 15–19 April 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti |
25.0% |
24.4% |
22.7–26.2% |
22.3–26.7% |
21.9–27.1% |
21.1–28.0% |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
18.3% |
21.8% |
20.1–23.5% |
19.7–24.0% |
19.3–24.4% |
18.6–25.2% |
SME RODINA |
8.2% |
11.5% |
10.3–12.9% |
10.0–13.3% |
9.7–13.6% |
9.1–14.3% |
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko |
8.0% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.0–11.7% |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia |
7.0% |
7.6% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.3–9.1% |
6.1–9.4% |
5.7–10.0% |
Sloboda a Solidarita |
6.2% |
6.8% |
5.9–7.9% |
5.6–8.2% |
5.4–8.5% |
5.0–9.1% |
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie |
4.6% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.8% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.1–6.5% |
Za ľudí |
5.8% |
3.2% |
2.6–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.5% |
2.1–5.0% |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
3.9% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.5% |
2.0–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
VLASŤ |
2.9% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
MOST–HÍD |
2.0% |
1.8% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.6% |
1.1–2.8% |
0.9–3.1% |
Slovenská národná strana |
3.2% |
1.6% |
1.2–2.2% |
1.1–2.4% |
1.0–2.5% |
0.8–2.9% |
Dobrá voľba |
3.1% |
1.1% |
0.8–1.6% |
0.7–1.8% |
0.6–1.9% |
0.5–2.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
98.5% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
43 |
87% |
97% |
Median |
44 |
0.8% |
10% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
8% |
|
47 |
2% |
7% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
49 |
2% |
4% |
|
50 |
2% |
2% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SMER–sociálna demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
86% |
99.2% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
13% |
Last Result |
39 |
3% |
11% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
3% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
SME RODINA
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the SME RODINA page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
18 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
19 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
20 |
88% |
96% |
Median |
21 |
2% |
8% |
|
22 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
23 |
2% |
5% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
27 |
2% |
2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
98% |
|
15 |
87% |
97% |
Median |
16 |
2% |
9% |
|
17 |
3% |
8% |
Last Result |
18 |
2% |
5% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
97% |
|
2 |
0% |
97% |
|
3 |
0% |
97% |
|
4 |
0% |
97% |
|
5 |
0% |
97% |
|
6 |
0% |
97% |
|
7 |
0% |
97% |
|
8 |
0% |
97% |
|
9 |
0% |
97% |
|
10 |
0% |
97% |
|
11 |
0% |
97% |
|
12 |
0% |
97% |
|
13 |
2% |
97% |
|
14 |
91% |
95% |
Median |
15 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
17 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Sloboda a Solidarita
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sloboda a Solidarita page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
4 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
0.7% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
89% |
98% |
Median |
13 |
4% |
10% |
Last Result |
14 |
2% |
6% |
|
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
88% |
|
2 |
0% |
88% |
|
3 |
0% |
88% |
|
4 |
0% |
88% |
|
5 |
0% |
88% |
|
6 |
0% |
88% |
|
7 |
0% |
88% |
|
8 |
0% |
88% |
|
9 |
86% |
88% |
Median |
10 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Za ľudí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Za ľudí page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
99.6% |
100% |
Median |
1 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
2 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
3 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
4 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
VLASŤ
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the VLASŤ page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
MOST–HÍD
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the MOST–HÍD page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Slovenská národná strana
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Slovenská národná strana page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Dobrá voľba
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Dobrá voľba page.
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD |
95 |
98 |
100% |
95–98 |
92–98 |
91–98 |
88–98 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD |
95 |
98 |
100% |
95–98 |
92–98 |
91–98 |
88–98 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
95 |
98 |
100% |
95–98 |
92–98 |
91–98 |
88–98 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
95 |
98 |
100% |
95–98 |
92–98 |
91–98 |
88–98 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana |
72 |
72 |
10% |
72–76 |
72–79 |
72–85 |
72–86 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD |
78 |
78 |
88% |
74–78 |
71–78 |
65–78 |
64–78 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD |
78 |
78 |
88% |
74–78 |
71–78 |
65–78 |
64–78 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja |
78 |
78 |
88% |
74–78 |
71–78 |
65–78 |
64–78 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
78 |
78 |
88% |
74–78 |
71–78 |
65–78 |
64–78 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí |
78 |
69 |
2% |
69 |
67–73 |
64–75 |
55–78 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA |
55 |
57 |
0% |
57–60 |
57–62 |
57–67 |
56–68 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana |
55 |
57 |
0% |
57–60 |
57–62 |
57–67 |
56–68 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
37 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–41 |
37–42 |
35–45 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia |
38 |
37 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–41 |
37–42 |
35–45 |
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana |
38 |
37 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–41 |
37–42 |
35–45 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí |
25 |
35 |
0% |
30–35 |
26–35 |
15–35 |
15–36 |
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí |
25 |
26 |
0% |
26 |
26–28 |
15–30 |
12–31 |
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
4% |
97% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
95 |
2% |
92% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
98 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
4% |
97% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
95 |
2% |
92% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
98 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
4% |
97% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
95 |
2% |
92% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
98 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – SME RODINA – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
83 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
84 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
86 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
88 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
90 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
91 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
92 |
4% |
97% |
|
93 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
94 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
95 |
2% |
92% |
Last Result |
96 |
0.5% |
90% |
|
97 |
0.7% |
89% |
|
98 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
99 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
100 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
101 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
88% |
99.8% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
0.1% |
12% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
12% |
|
75 |
2% |
12% |
|
76 |
2% |
10% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
8% |
|
78 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
85 |
2% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
88% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
78 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – MOST–HÍD
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
88% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
78 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí – Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
88% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
78 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
97% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
73 |
2% |
94% |
|
74 |
2% |
92% |
|
75 |
2% |
90% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
88% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
78 |
88% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
OBYČAJNÍ ĽUDIA a nezávislé osobnosti – Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
57 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.4% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
65 |
2% |
97% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
69 |
86% |
94% |
Median |
70 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
8% |
|
72 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
7% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
0% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
2% |
|
78 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
86% |
99.1% |
Median |
58 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
59 |
2% |
13% |
|
60 |
2% |
10% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
67 |
2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – SME RODINA – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
56 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
86% |
99.1% |
Median |
58 |
0.4% |
13% |
|
59 |
2% |
13% |
|
60 |
2% |
10% |
|
61 |
3% |
8% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
67 |
2% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – MOST–HÍD – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
86% |
99.2% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
13% |
Last Result |
39 |
3% |
11% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
3% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
86% |
99.2% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
13% |
Last Result |
39 |
3% |
11% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
3% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
SMER–sociálna demokracia – Slovenská národná strana
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
86% |
99.2% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
13% |
Last Result |
39 |
3% |
11% |
|
40 |
4% |
9% |
|
41 |
3% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
15 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
16 |
0% |
97% |
|
17 |
0% |
97% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
19 |
0% |
97% |
|
20 |
0% |
97% |
|
21 |
0% |
97% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
96% |
Last Result |
26 |
2% |
96% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
94% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
29 |
2% |
92% |
|
30 |
2% |
90% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
88% |
|
32 |
0% |
88% |
|
33 |
0% |
88% |
|
34 |
0% |
88% |
|
35 |
87% |
88% |
Median |
36 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia – Sloboda a Solidarita – Za ľudí
Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
98.9% |
|
15 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
0% |
97% |
|
17 |
0% |
97% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
19 |
0% |
96% |
|
20 |
0% |
96% |
|
21 |
0% |
96% |
|
22 |
0% |
96% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
24 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
96% |
Last Result |
26 |
89% |
96% |
Median |
27 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
28 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
29 |
2% |
4% |
|
30 |
2% |
3% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: FOCUS
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15–19 April 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 1016
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.78%