Opinion Poll by OGM for Servus TV, 1–19 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0.0% | 35.1% | 32.4–37.8% | 31.7–38.6% | 31.1–39.3% | 29.9–40.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.7–24.7% | 16.7–25.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0.0% | 17.9% | 15.9–20.2% | 15.3–20.9% | 14.9–21.5% | 13.9–22.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 66% | 93% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 27% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 44% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) | 0 | 4 | 0% | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) | 0 | 3 | 0% | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 66% | 93% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 27% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 77% | 95% | Median |
| 5 | 18% | 18% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 55% | 99.7% | Median |
| 4 | 44% | 45% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: OGM
- Commissioner(s): Servus TV
- Fieldwork period: 1–19 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 519
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.26%