Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.0% | 18.4–21.9% | 18.0–22.5% | 17.7–23.0% | 17.0–24.0% |
| 17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
20.0% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.9–22.3% | 17.2–23.1% |
| 16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| 9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| 25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.7–22.6% | 17.0–23.4% |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| 18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| 4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| 25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.7–22.6% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19.0% | 17.9–20.2% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.4% |
| 30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
21.0% | 19.5–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.7% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | 18.8–21.1% | 18.5–21.5% | 18.2–21.8% | 17.7–22.3% |
| 5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
19.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
21.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.7–24.7% | 16.7–25.9% |
| 26–27 August 2024 | Market | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| 23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.5–23.7% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| 5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| 5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| 25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
22.9% | 21.3–24.6% | 20.9–25.1% | 20.5–25.5% | 19.8–26.3% |
| 15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 July 2024 | Market | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.9–24.5% |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 11% | 98% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 25% | 87% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 28% | 62% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 20% | 34% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 14% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 17–18 December 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 16–17 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 9–10 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 2–4 December 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 2–4 December 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 2–3 December 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 25–26 November 2024 | OGM | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 18–19 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 11–13 November 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 11–12 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 4–5 November 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 28–29 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–28 October 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 21–22 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 14–15 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 7–8 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 |
| 30 September–1 October 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 19–22 September 2024 | IFDD ATV, Kronen Zeitung and PULS 24 |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 9–17 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–11 September 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 9–10 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 2–9 September 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 2–6 September 2024 | IFDD Kronen Zeitung |
|||||
| 28 August–4 September 2024 | Unique Research profil |
|||||
| 2–4 September 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 26 August–3 September 2024 | Triple M News |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 1–31 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 |
| 26–27 August 2024 | Market | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 23–26 August 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 19–22 August 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
|||||
| 19–20 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–7 August 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 5–6 August 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 22–30 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 25–26 July 2024 | IFDD Radio Content Austria |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 15–24 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 12–21 July 2024 | Spectra Kleine Zeitung, OÖNachrichten and Salzburger Nachrichten |
5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 8–12 July 2024 | Unique Research Kronen Zeitung |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Market Der Standard |
|||||
| 8–10 July 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 1–2 July 2024 | Market | |||||
| 24–26 June 2024 | OGM KURIER |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| 24–25 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 12–19 June 2024 | Unique Research profil |
|||||
| 10–19 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
|||||
| 10–13 June 2024 | Unique Research Heute |
|||||
| 10–11 June 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
|||||
| 10–11 June 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 79% | 99.2% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 20% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |