Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 13–16 April 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 48.0% 45.8–50.3% 45.1–50.9% 44.6–51.5% 43.5–52.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 16.0% 14.4–17.8% 14.0–18.3% 13.6–18.7% 12.9–19.6%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 16.0% 14.4–17.8% 14.0–18.3% 13.6–18.7% 12.9–19.6%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 13.0% 11.6–14.7% 11.2–15.1% 10.9–15.5% 10.2–16.4%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 6.0% 5.0–7.2% 4.7–7.5% 4.5–7.8% 4.1–8.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 89 85–93 84–95 83–96 81–98
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 29 26–33 26–34 25–34 24–36
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 30 27–33 26–34 25–34 24–36
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 24 21–27 20–28 20–28 19–30
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 11 9–13 8–14 8–14 7–15

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.6%  
82 1.1% 99.0%  
83 2% 98%  
84 4% 96%  
85 5% 92%  
86 8% 87%  
87 10% 79%  
88 11% 69%  
89 13% 58% Median
90 12% 45%  
91 10% 34%  
92 9% 24% Majority
93 6% 15%  
94 4% 9%  
95 3% 5%  
96 1.3% 3%  
97 0.8% 1.4%  
98 0.4% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 3% 98.5%  
26 6% 96%  
27 9% 90%  
28 16% 81%  
29 16% 65% Median
30 14% 49%  
31 14% 35%  
32 9% 20%  
33 6% 11%  
34 3% 6%  
35 1.4% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.0% 99.6%  
25 3% 98.6%  
26 5% 96% Last Result
27 10% 90%  
28 14% 80%  
29 16% 66%  
30 17% 50% Median
31 12% 33%  
32 10% 21%  
33 5% 11%  
34 3% 6%  
35 1.3% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 1.3% 99.6%  
20 4% 98%  
21 8% 95%  
22 12% 87%  
23 17% 75%  
24 17% 58% Median
25 16% 40%  
26 11% 24%  
27 7% 13%  
28 4% 6%  
29 2% 2%  
30 0.6% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 0% 99.7%  
2 0% 99.7%  
3 0% 99.7%  
4 0% 99.7%  
5 0% 99.7%  
6 0% 99.7%  
7 0.7% 99.7%  
8 5% 98.9%  
9 14% 94%  
10 24% 80%  
11 25% 56% Median
12 17% 31%  
13 9% 14%  
14 4% 5%  
15 1.1% 1.4% Last Result
16 0.3% 0.3%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 129 100% 126–133 124–134 123–135 122–137
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 119 100% 115–123 113–124 112–125 110–127
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 119 100% 115–123 113–124 112–125 110–127
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 102 113 100% 109–117 108–118 107–119 105–121
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 100 99.5% 96–104 95–105 94–106 91–108
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 89 24% 85–93 84–95 83–96 81–98
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 70 0% 66–74 65–75 64–76 62–78
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 66 59 0% 55–63 54–64 53–65 51–67
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 54 0% 50–57 49–59 48–60 46–61
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 29 0% 26–33 26–34 25–34 24–36

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100% Last Result
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0% 100%  
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 100%  
120 0.1% 99.9%  
121 0.3% 99.8%  
122 0.7% 99.5%  
123 1.4% 98.9%  
124 2% 97%  
125 4% 95%  
126 7% 91%  
127 9% 84%  
128 11% 74%  
129 13% 63%  
130 13% 50% Median
131 11% 37%  
132 9% 25%  
133 7% 16%  
134 4% 9%  
135 2% 4%  
136 1.2% 2%  
137 0.5% 0.8%  
138 0.2% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100% Last Result
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 100%  
108 0.1% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.3% 99.8%  
111 0.7% 99.5%  
112 1.3% 98.8%  
113 3% 97%  
114 4% 95%  
115 7% 91%  
116 8% 84%  
117 11% 76%  
118 13% 65%  
119 13% 52% Median
120 11% 39%  
121 9% 28%  
122 8% 19%  
123 5% 11%  
124 3% 6%  
125 2% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.4% 0.7%  
128 0.2% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0.1% 99.9%  
110 0.3% 99.8%  
111 0.7% 99.5% Last Result
112 1.3% 98.8%  
113 3% 97%  
114 5% 95%  
115 6% 90%  
116 9% 84%  
117 11% 76%  
118 12% 65% Median
119 13% 53%  
120 12% 40%  
121 10% 28%  
122 8% 19%  
123 5% 11%  
124 3% 6%  
125 2% 3%  
126 0.8% 2%  
127 0.4% 0.7%  
128 0.2% 0.3%  
129 0.1% 0.1%  
130 0% 0.1%  
131 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100% Last Result
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.9%  
105 0.5% 99.6%  
106 1.1% 99.1%  
107 2% 98%  
108 3% 96%  
109 5% 93%  
110 8% 87%  
111 10% 79%  
112 12% 70%  
113 12% 58% Median
114 12% 46%  
115 10% 33%  
116 8% 23%  
117 6% 15%  
118 4% 9%  
119 2% 5%  
120 1.3% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.1%  
122 0.3% 0.5%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0.1% 0.1%  
125 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100% Last Result
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 100%  
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.3% 99.8%  
92 0.7% 99.5% Majority
93 1.3% 98.8%  
94 2% 98%  
95 4% 95%  
96 6% 91%  
97 8% 85%  
98 10% 77%  
99 12% 67%  
100 12% 55% Median
101 12% 43%  
102 10% 31%  
103 8% 21%  
104 6% 14%  
105 4% 8%  
106 2% 4%  
107 1.2% 2%  
108 0.6% 1.0%  
109 0.3% 0.4%  
110 0.1% 0.2%  
111 0% 0.1%  
112 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0.1% 99.9%  
80 0.3% 99.8%  
81 0.6% 99.6%  
82 1.1% 99.0%  
83 2% 98%  
84 4% 96%  
85 5% 92%  
86 8% 87%  
87 10% 79%  
88 11% 69%  
89 13% 58% Median
90 12% 45%  
91 10% 34%  
92 9% 24% Majority
93 6% 15%  
94 4% 9%  
95 3% 5%  
96 1.3% 3%  
97 0.8% 1.4%  
98 0.4% 0.6%  
99 0.1% 0.2%  
100 0.1% 0.1%  
101 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.3% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.5%  
63 1.3% 98.9%  
64 2% 98%  
65 4% 95%  
66 6% 91%  
67 8% 85%  
68 10% 77%  
69 12% 67%  
70 12% 54% Median
71 12% 42%  
72 10% 30%  
73 8% 21%  
74 5% 13%  
75 3% 7%  
76 2% 4%  
77 1.1% 2%  
78 0.5% 0.9%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1% Last Result
82 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.4% 99.8%  
52 1.0% 99.4%  
53 2% 98%  
54 3% 97%  
55 6% 94%  
56 8% 87%  
57 9% 79%  
58 13% 70%  
59 14% 57% Median
60 11% 43%  
61 11% 33%  
62 9% 22%  
63 5% 13%  
64 4% 8%  
65 2% 4%  
66 1.0% 2% Last Result
67 0.5% 0.9%  
68 0.2% 0.4%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.5% 99.7%  
47 1.2% 99.2%  
48 2% 98%  
49 4% 96%  
50 7% 91%  
51 9% 84%  
52 11% 75%  
53 13% 63% Median
54 13% 50%  
55 11% 37%  
56 9% 26%  
57 7% 16%  
58 4% 9%  
59 2% 5%  
60 1.4% 3%  
61 0.7% 1.1%  
62 0.3% 0.5%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 3% 98.5%  
26 6% 96%  
27 9% 90%  
28 16% 81%  
29 16% 65% Median
30 14% 49%  
31 14% 35%  
32 9% 20%  
33 6% 11%  
34 3% 6%  
35 1.4% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  
40 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations