Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 90 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | ÖVP | SPÖ | FPÖ | GRÜNE | NEOS | JETZT | G!LT | HC | BIER |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 September 2019 | General Election | 37.5% 71 |
21.2% 40 |
16.2% 31 |
13.9% 26 |
8.1% 15 |
1.9% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | 18–25% 33–46 |
19–24% 35–46 |
24–33% 45–62 |
7–15% 13–28 |
7–16% 12–30 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–9% 9–17 |
| 6–8 May 2024 | Market ÖSTERREICH |
19–23% 36–43 |
19–23% 36–43 |
24–28% 46–53 |
13–16% 23–29 |
13–17% 25–31 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 1–30 April 2024 | OGM Servus TV |
19–26% 34–48 |
19–26% 34–48 |
23–31% 43–58 |
7–12% 12–22 |
7–12% 12–22 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–9% 9–17 |
| 22–25 April 2024 | Unique Research profil |
17–23% 32–43 |
18–24% 34–45 |
27–33% 50–63 |
7–11% 13–21 |
6–10% 11–19 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–9% 10–17 |
| 8–10 April 2024 | INSA eXXpress |
18–23% 32–42 |
19–24% 34–44 |
28–34% 52–63 |
7–11% 13–20 |
7–11% 13–20 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
| 12–15 March 2024 | IFDD NÖN |
21–25% 39–47 |
20–24% 37–45 |
25–29% 46–55 |
7–9% 12–17 |
7–9% 12–17 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–7% 9–13 |
| 29 September 2019 | General Election | 37.5% 71 |
21.2% 40 |
16.2% 31 |
13.9% 26 |
8.1% 15 |
1.9% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the Nationalrat (95% confidence interval)
- ÖVP: Österreichische Volkspartei
- SPÖ: Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs
- FPÖ: Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs
- GRÜNE: Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative
- NEOS: NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
- JETZT: JETZT–Liste Pilz
- G!LT: Meine Stimme G!LT
- HC: Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich
- BIER: Bierpartei
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.2% | 19.0–23.6% | 18.5–24.3% | 18.0–24.8% | 17.1–25.9% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.4% | 19.7–23.3% | 19.2–23.9% | 18.8–24.5% | 17.9–25.8% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.9% | 25.3–31.7% | 24.8–32.4% | 24.3–33.0% | 23.3–34.1% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.1% | 7.6–14.0% | 7.3–14.5% | 7.0–14.9% | 6.5–15.6% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4–15.0% | 7.0–15.6% | 6.8–16.0% | 6.2–16.6% |
| JETZT–Liste Pilz | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Meine Stimme G!LT | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Team HC Strache–Allianz für Österreich | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.6% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.6% | 5.0–9.0% | 4.6–9.9% |