Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 9–12 June 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 44.0% 41.8–46.3% 41.2–46.9% 40.6–47.5% 39.6–48.6%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 17.0% 15.3–18.8% 14.9–19.3% 14.5–19.7% 13.8–20.6%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 16.0% 14.4–17.7% 14.0–18.2% 13.6–18.7% 12.9–19.5%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 14.0% 12.5–15.7% 12.1–16.1% 11.7–16.6% 11.1–17.4%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 8.0% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7% 6.3–10.1% 5.8–10.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 82 78–86 76–87 75–88 73–90
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 31 28–35 27–35 27–36 25–38
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 29 26–33 26–34 25–34 24–36
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 26 23–29 22–30 21–30 20–32
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 15 12–17 12–18 11–18 10–20

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 1.4% 98.8%  
76 3% 97%  
77 4% 95%  
78 6% 91%  
79 9% 85%  
80 10% 76%  
81 13% 66%  
82 13% 53% Median
83 11% 40%  
84 10% 29%  
85 7% 20%  
86 5% 13%  
87 3% 8%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2% Majority
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.5% 99.8%  
26 1.4% 99.3%  
27 4% 98%  
28 7% 94%  
29 11% 88%  
30 14% 77%  
31 16% 63% Median
32 15% 47%  
33 13% 32%  
34 9% 19%  
35 5% 10%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.5% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
41 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.4% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.5%  
25 3% 98%  
26 6% 95% Last Result
27 10% 89%  
28 14% 79%  
29 16% 65% Median
30 16% 49%  
31 13% 33%  
32 9% 20%  
33 6% 11%  
34 3% 5%  
35 1.4% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.8%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0.1% 100%  
20 0.6% 99.8%  
21 2% 99.2%  
22 5% 97%  
23 9% 93%  
24 13% 84%  
25 17% 71%  
26 17% 54% Median
27 14% 37%  
28 11% 22%  
29 6% 12%  
30 3% 6%  
31 1.5% 2% Last Result
32 0.6% 0.8%  
33 0.2% 0.3%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 0.6% 99.9%  
11 3% 99.3%  
12 8% 96%  
13 14% 88%  
14 22% 74%  
15 22% 52% Last Result, Median
16 16% 29%  
17 8% 14%  
18 4% 6%  
19 2% 2%  
20 0.4% 0.6%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 126 100% 122–130 121–131 120–132 118–134
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 113 100% 109–117 108–118 107–119 105–121
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 111 100% 107–115 106–117 105–118 103–119
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 102 107 100% 103–112 102–113 101–114 99–116
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 96 93% 92–101 91–102 90–103 88–105
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 82 0.2% 78–86 76–87 75–88 73–90
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 76 0% 71–80 70–81 69–82 67–84
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 61 0% 57–65 56–66 55–67 53–69
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 57 0% 53–61 52–62 51–63 49–65
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 31 0% 28–35 27–35 27–36 25–38

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100% Last Result
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 100%  
116 0.1% 100%  
117 0.2% 99.9%  
118 0.5% 99.7%  
119 1.0% 99.1%  
120 2% 98%  
121 4% 96%  
122 6% 92%  
123 8% 87%  
124 11% 78%  
125 12% 68%  
126 13% 55% Median
127 13% 42%  
128 10% 30%  
129 8% 20%  
130 5% 12%  
131 3% 6%  
132 2% 3%  
133 0.8% 1.4%  
134 0.3% 0.5%  
135 0.1% 0.2%  
136 0% 0.1%  
137 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0.1% 99.9%  
104 0.2% 99.8%  
105 0.5% 99.6%  
106 1.1% 99.1%  
107 2% 98%  
108 3% 96%  
109 5% 93%  
110 8% 87%  
111 10% 80% Last Result
112 12% 70%  
113 12% 58% Median
114 12% 45%  
115 11% 33%  
116 8% 23%  
117 6% 14%  
118 4% 8%  
119 2% 5%  
120 1.2% 2%  
121 0.6% 1.0%  
122 0.3% 0.4%  
123 0.1% 0.2%  
124 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0% 100% Last Result
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 100%  
101 0.1% 100%  
102 0.2% 99.9%  
103 0.5% 99.7%  
104 1.0% 99.1%  
105 2% 98%  
106 3% 96%  
107 5% 93%  
108 7% 88%  
109 10% 81%  
110 12% 71%  
111 13% 60% Median
112 12% 47%  
113 11% 34%  
114 9% 24%  
115 6% 15%  
116 4% 10%  
117 3% 5%  
118 2% 3%  
119 0.7% 1.2%  
120 0.3% 0.5%  
121 0.1% 0.2%  
122 0% 0.1%  
123 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.4% 99.7%  
100 1.0% 99.4%  
101 2% 98%  
102 3% 97% Last Result
103 5% 94%  
104 7% 89%  
105 8% 82%  
106 11% 74%  
107 13% 63%  
108 11% 50% Median
109 11% 39%  
110 10% 27%  
111 7% 18%  
112 5% 11%  
113 3% 7%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.9% 2%  
116 0.5% 0.7%  
117 0.2% 0.3%  
118 0.1% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100% Last Result
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.5% 99.7%  
89 0.9% 99.2%  
90 2% 98%  
91 3% 96%  
92 5% 93% Majority
93 7% 88%  
94 10% 81%  
95 11% 71%  
96 12% 61%  
97 12% 49% Median
98 10% 37%  
99 9% 26%  
100 6% 17%  
101 5% 11%  
102 3% 6%  
103 2% 3%  
104 0.8% 1.5%  
105 0.4% 0.7%  
106 0.2% 0.3%  
107 0.1% 0.1%  
108 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100% Last Result
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.8%  
74 0.7% 99.5%  
75 1.4% 98.8%  
76 3% 97%  
77 4% 95%  
78 6% 91%  
79 9% 85%  
80 10% 76%  
81 13% 66%  
82 13% 53% Median
83 11% 40%  
84 10% 29%  
85 7% 20%  
86 5% 13%  
87 3% 8%  
88 2% 4%  
89 1.2% 2%  
90 0.6% 1.0%  
91 0.2% 0.4%  
92 0.1% 0.2% Majority
93 0% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.2% 99.9%  
67 0.5% 99.7%  
68 0.9% 99.3%  
69 2% 98%  
70 3% 97%  
71 5% 93%  
72 7% 89%  
73 10% 82%  
74 11% 73%  
75 11% 61% Median
76 13% 50%  
77 11% 37%  
78 8% 26%  
79 7% 18%  
80 5% 11%  
81 3% 6% Last Result
82 2% 3%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.6%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.5% 99.7%  
54 1.2% 99.2%  
55 2% 98%  
56 4% 96%  
57 6% 92%  
58 9% 86%  
59 11% 77%  
60 12% 66% Median
61 12% 54%  
62 12% 42%  
63 11% 30%  
64 7% 19%  
65 5% 12%  
66 3% 7% Last Result
67 2% 4%  
68 0.9% 2%  
69 0.4% 0.7%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0% 100%  
48 0.1% 99.9%  
49 0.3% 99.8%  
50 0.8% 99.5%  
51 2% 98.6%  
52 3% 97%  
53 5% 94%  
54 8% 88%  
55 10% 80%  
56 13% 70%  
57 13% 58% Median
58 12% 45%  
59 11% 32%  
60 8% 22%  
61 6% 13%  
62 4% 8%  
63 2% 4%  
64 1.0% 2%  
65 0.5% 0.9%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.5% 99.8%  
26 1.4% 99.3%  
27 4% 98%  
28 7% 94%  
29 11% 88%  
30 14% 77%  
31 16% 63% Median
32 15% 47%  
33 13% 32%  
34 9% 19%  
35 5% 10%  
36 3% 5%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.5% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
41 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations