Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 10–13 August 2020

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 40.9% 38.7–43.2% 38.1–43.8% 37.6–44.4% 36.5–45.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 18.0% 16.3–19.8% 15.9–20.3% 15.5–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 16.0% 14.4–17.8% 14.0–18.3% 13.6–18.7% 12.9–19.6%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 15.0% 13.5–16.7% 13.1–17.2% 12.7–17.6% 12.0–18.5%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 9.1% 7.9–10.5% 7.5–10.9% 7.3–11.2% 6.7–12.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 76 72–80 71–81 70–82 68–84
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 33 30–36 29–37 28–38 27–40
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 29 26–33 26–34 25–34 24–36
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 28 25–31 24–32 23–32 22–34
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 17 14–19 14–20 13–20 12–22

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 1.2% 99.0%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96% Last Result
72 6% 92%  
73 8% 86%  
74 10% 78%  
75 12% 68%  
76 13% 56% Median
77 11% 43%  
78 10% 32%  
79 8% 22%  
80 5% 13%  
81 4% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.1%  
29 4% 97%  
30 7% 93%  
31 11% 86%  
32 14% 75%  
33 16% 61% Median
34 15% 45%  
35 12% 30%  
36 8% 18%  
37 5% 10%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.3% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.6%  
25 3% 98%  
26 6% 96% Last Result
27 10% 90%  
28 14% 80%  
29 16% 66% Median
30 16% 50%  
31 13% 33%  
32 9% 20%  
33 6% 11%  
34 3% 5%  
35 1.4% 2%  
36 0.6% 0.9%  
37 0.2% 0.3%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 0.8% 99.7%  
23 2% 99.0%  
24 5% 97%  
25 9% 92%  
26 14% 82%  
27 16% 69%  
28 17% 52% Median
29 13% 35%  
30 10% 22%  
31 6% 12% Last Result
32 3% 6%  
33 2% 2%  
34 0.6% 0.9%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.8%  
13 3% 99.0%  
14 9% 96%  
15 16% 87% Last Result
16 20% 71%  
17 20% 51% Median
18 15% 31%  
19 9% 16%  
20 4% 7%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0.6% 0.8%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 122 100% 118–126 117–127 116–128 114–130
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 109 100% 105–113 104–114 103–116 101–117
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 105 100% 101–110 100–111 99–112 97–114
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 102 104 100% 99–108 98–109 97–110 95–112
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 93 63% 88–97 87–98 86–99 84–101
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 79 0% 75–84 74–85 73–86 71–88
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 76 0% 72–80 71–81 70–82 68–84
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 63 0% 59–67 58–68 57–69 55–71
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 61 0% 57–65 56–66 55–67 53–69
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 33 0% 30–36 29–37 28–38 27–40

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0.1% 100% Last Result
113 0.2% 99.9%  
114 0.5% 99.7%  
115 0.9% 99.2%  
116 2% 98%  
117 3% 96%  
118 5% 93%  
119 8% 88%  
120 10% 80%  
121 11% 70%  
122 15% 59% Median
123 12% 44%  
124 9% 32%  
125 10% 23%  
126 6% 13%  
127 3% 7%  
128 2% 4%  
129 1.0% 2%  
130 0.4% 0.7%  
131 0.2% 0.3%  
132 0.1% 0.1%  
133 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0.1% 100%  
100 0.2% 99.9%  
101 0.5% 99.6%  
102 1.0% 99.1%  
103 2% 98%  
104 3% 96%  
105 5% 93%  
106 8% 87%  
107 9% 80%  
108 12% 71%  
109 13% 59% Median
110 12% 46%  
111 10% 34% Last Result
112 9% 24%  
113 6% 15%  
114 4% 9%  
115 2% 5%  
116 1.4% 3%  
117 0.7% 1.1%  
118 0.3% 0.5%  
119 0.1% 0.2%  
120 0% 0.1%  
121 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0.1% 100%  
96 0.2% 99.9%  
97 0.4% 99.7% Last Result
98 0.9% 99.3%  
99 2% 98%  
100 3% 97%  
101 5% 94%  
102 7% 89%  
103 9% 82%  
104 11% 73%  
105 13% 62% Median
106 12% 50%  
107 11% 38%  
108 9% 27%  
109 7% 18%  
110 5% 11%  
111 3% 6%  
112 2% 3%  
113 0.8% 1.5%  
114 0.4% 0.6%  
115 0.2% 0.3%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
93 0.1% 100%  
94 0.2% 99.9%  
95 0.4% 99.7%  
96 0.8% 99.4%  
97 2% 98.5%  
98 3% 97%  
99 4% 94%  
100 6% 90%  
101 9% 83%  
102 11% 74% Last Result
103 12% 64%  
104 12% 52% Median
105 11% 40%  
106 10% 29%  
107 7% 19%  
108 5% 12%  
109 3% 7%  
110 2% 4%  
111 1.0% 2%  
112 0.4% 0.8%  
113 0.2% 0.3%  
114 0.1% 0.1%  
115 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0.2% 99.9%  
84 0.4% 99.7%  
85 0.9% 99.3%  
86 2% 98% Last Result
87 3% 97%  
88 5% 94%  
89 7% 89%  
90 9% 82%  
91 10% 74%  
92 12% 63% Majority
93 12% 51% Median
94 11% 38%  
95 9% 28%  
96 7% 19%  
97 5% 11%  
98 3% 7%  
99 2% 4%  
100 0.9% 2%  
101 0.4% 0.7%  
102 0.2% 0.3%  
103 0.1% 0.1%  
104 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 0.4% 99.7%  
72 1.0% 99.2%  
73 2% 98%  
74 3% 96%  
75 5% 93%  
76 7% 88%  
77 10% 81%  
78 11% 71%  
79 12% 60% Median
80 12% 48%  
81 11% 36% Last Result
82 9% 26%  
83 6% 17%  
84 4% 10%  
85 3% 6%  
86 2% 3%  
87 0.8% 1.5%  
88 0.4% 0.6%  
89 0.2% 0.3%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.3% 99.9%  
68 0.5% 99.6%  
69 1.2% 99.0%  
70 2% 98%  
71 4% 96% Last Result
72 6% 92%  
73 8% 86%  
74 10% 78%  
75 12% 68%  
76 13% 56% Median
77 11% 43%  
78 10% 32%  
79 8% 22%  
80 5% 13%  
81 4% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.2% 2%  
84 0.6% 1.0%  
85 0.3% 0.4%  
86 0.1% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.7%  
56 1.3% 99.1%  
57 2% 98%  
58 4% 96%  
59 6% 91%  
60 9% 85%  
61 11% 77%  
62 13% 65% Median
63 13% 53%  
64 12% 40%  
65 9% 29%  
66 7% 19% Last Result
67 5% 12%  
68 3% 7%  
69 2% 3%  
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.4% 0.7%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.4% 99.7%  
54 1.0% 99.3%  
55 2% 98%  
56 3% 96%  
57 6% 93%  
58 10% 87%  
59 9% 77%  
60 12% 68%  
61 15% 56% Median
62 11% 41%  
63 10% 30%  
64 8% 20%  
65 5% 12%  
66 3% 7%  
67 2% 4%  
68 0.9% 2%  
69 0.5% 0.8%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
72 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.8%  
28 2% 99.1%  
29 4% 97%  
30 7% 93%  
31 11% 86%  
32 14% 75%  
33 16% 61% Median
34 15% 45%  
35 12% 30%  
36 8% 18%  
37 5% 10%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.6% 0.9% Last Result
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations