Opinion Poll by Unique Research for Heute, 23–25 March 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 36.0% 33.9–38.2% 33.3–38.9% 32.7–39.4% 31.7–40.5%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 23.0% 21.2–25.0% 20.7–25.6% 20.2–26.0% 19.4–27.0%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 18.0% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4% 15.5–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 11.0% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0% 9.0–13.4% 8.4–14.1%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 11.0% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0% 9.0–13.4% 8.4–14.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 67 63–71 62–72 60–73 59–75
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 42 39–46 38–47 37–48 36–50
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 33 30–36 29–37 28–38 27–40
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 21 20–22 20–22 16–22 15–26
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 20 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–25

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.6%  
60 1.5% 98.9%  
61 2% 97%  
62 4% 95%  
63 7% 91%  
64 9% 84%  
65 11% 75%  
66 13% 64%  
67 12% 51% Median
68 12% 39%  
69 10% 27%  
70 6% 17%  
71 5% 11% Last Result
72 3% 6%  
73 1.5% 3%  
74 0.8% 1.4%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 0.8% 99.5%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 4% 96%  
39 8% 93%  
40 9% 85% Last Result
41 15% 76%  
42 13% 62% Median
43 15% 49%  
44 11% 34%  
45 10% 23%  
46 6% 13%  
47 4% 7%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.2% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.7%  
28 2% 99.0%  
29 4% 97%  
30 8% 93%  
31 10% 85% Last Result
32 15% 75%  
33 16% 60% Median
34 14% 44%  
35 12% 30%  
36 8% 18%  
37 5% 10%  
38 3% 5%  
39 1.3% 2%  
40 0.5% 0.8%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100%  
15 2% 99.7% Last Result
16 1.2% 98%  
17 0.1% 97%  
18 0% 97%  
19 0.4% 97%  
20 18% 96%  
21 54% 79% Median
22 23% 25%  
23 1.2% 2%  
24 0% 0.6%  
25 0% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.5%  
27 0.3% 0.5%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.7% 99.9%  
16 3% 99.2%  
17 7% 96%  
18 15% 89%  
19 18% 75%  
20 19% 56% Median
21 18% 38%  
22 10% 20%  
23 6% 9%  
24 3% 4%  
25 0.8% 1.3%  
26 0.3% 0.5% Last Result
27 0.1% 0.2%  
28 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 109 100% 105–113 104–114 103–115 101–117
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 107 100% 103–111 102–113 101–114 99–116
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 102 100 99.5% 96–104 94–105 93–106 92–108
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 86 5% 83–90 81–92 81–93 79–95
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 88 9% 84–91 82–92 81–93 79–95
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 83 0.5% 79–87 78–89 77–90 75–91
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 76 0% 72–80 70–81 69–82 67–84
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 67 0% 63–71 62–72 60–73 59–75
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 62 0% 59–66 57–67 57–68 55–70
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 42 0% 39–46 38–47 37–48 36–50

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0.1% 100%  
100 0.2% 99.9%  
101 0.5% 99.6%  
102 1.1% 99.1%  
103 2% 98%  
104 4% 96%  
105 6% 92%  
106 8% 87%  
107 10% 79%  
108 12% 69%  
109 13% 57% Median
110 12% 44%  
111 11% 32% Last Result
112 8% 21%  
113 6% 13%  
114 3% 7%  
115 2% 4%  
116 1.1% 2%  
117 0.5% 0.8%  
118 0.2% 0.3%  
119 0.1% 0.1%  
120 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
97 0.1% 100%  
98 0.2% 99.9%  
99 0.4% 99.7%  
100 1.0% 99.3%  
101 2% 98%  
102 3% 97%  
103 5% 94%  
104 7% 89%  
105 9% 82%  
106 11% 72%  
107 12% 61%  
108 12% 49% Median
109 11% 36%  
110 9% 25%  
111 7% 17%  
112 4% 10% Last Result
113 3% 6%  
114 2% 3%  
115 0.7% 1.2%  
116 0.3% 0.5%  
117 0.1% 0.2%  
118 0% 0.1%  
119 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0.1% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.3% 99.8%  
92 0.7% 99.5% Majority
93 2% 98.8%  
94 2% 97%  
95 4% 95%  
96 6% 91%  
97 9% 85%  
98 11% 76%  
99 12% 65%  
100 12% 53% Median
101 12% 41%  
102 10% 30% Last Result
103 8% 20%  
104 5% 12%  
105 3% 7%  
106 2% 4%  
107 1.0% 2%  
108 0.4% 0.7%  
109 0.2% 0.3%  
110 0.1% 0.1%  
111 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0.3% 99.8%  
79 0.7% 99.5%  
80 1.3% 98.8%  
81 3% 98%  
82 4% 95%  
83 7% 90%  
84 10% 83%  
85 11% 74%  
86 13% 63%  
87 13% 49% Median
88 11% 36%  
89 9% 25%  
90 7% 16%  
91 4% 9%  
92 3% 5% Majority
93 1.3% 3%  
94 0.7% 1.4%  
95 0.4% 0.6%  
96 0.2% 0.3%  
97 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.3% 99.7%  
80 0.7% 99.4%  
81 1.4% 98.7%  
82 2% 97%  
83 4% 95%  
84 7% 91%  
85 9% 84%  
86 11% 75% Last Result
87 13% 64%  
88 13% 50% Median
89 12% 37%  
90 9% 26%  
91 7% 16%  
92 4% 9% Majority
93 3% 5%  
94 1.4% 2%  
95 0.6% 1.1%  
96 0.3% 0.4%  
97 0.1% 0.2%  
98 0% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.2% 99.9%  
75 0.4% 99.7%  
76 1.0% 99.3%  
77 2% 98%  
78 3% 96%  
79 5% 93%  
80 8% 88%  
81 10% 80% Last Result
82 12% 70%  
83 12% 59% Median
84 12% 47%  
85 11% 35%  
86 9% 24%  
87 6% 15%  
88 4% 9%  
89 2% 5%  
90 2% 3%  
91 0.7% 1.2%  
92 0.3% 0.5% Majority
93 0.1% 0.2%  
94 0.1% 0.1%  
95 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 99.8%  
68 0.7% 99.5%  
69 2% 98.8%  
70 3% 97%  
71 4% 94% Last Result
72 7% 90%  
73 9% 83%  
74 11% 75%  
75 12% 64% Median
76 12% 51%  
77 11% 39%  
78 9% 28%  
79 7% 18%  
80 5% 11%  
81 3% 6%  
82 2% 3%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.7%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.3% 99.8%  
59 0.6% 99.6%  
60 1.5% 98.9%  
61 2% 97%  
62 4% 95%  
63 7% 91%  
64 9% 84%  
65 11% 75%  
66 13% 64%  
67 12% 51% Median
68 12% 39%  
69 10% 27%  
70 6% 17%  
71 5% 11% Last Result
72 3% 6%  
73 1.5% 3%  
74 0.8% 1.4%  
75 0.4% 0.6%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.9%  
55 0.6% 99.6%  
56 1.4% 99.0%  
57 3% 98%  
58 5% 95%  
59 7% 90%  
60 10% 83%  
61 12% 73%  
62 13% 60% Median
63 13% 47%  
64 11% 34%  
65 9% 23%  
66 6% 14% Last Result
67 4% 8%  
68 2% 4%  
69 1.1% 2%  
70 0.6% 1.0%  
71 0.2% 0.4%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.4% 99.9%  
36 0.8% 99.5%  
37 2% 98.7%  
38 4% 96%  
39 8% 93%  
40 9% 85% Last Result
41 15% 76%  
42 13% 62% Median
43 15% 49%  
44 11% 34%  
45 10% 23%  
46 6% 13%  
47 4% 7%  
48 2% 3%  
49 0.9% 2%  
50 0.4% 0.7%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations