Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 7–10 June 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 33.0% 30.9–35.2% 30.3–35.8% 29.8–36.3% 28.8–37.4%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 23.0% 21.2–25.0% 20.7–25.6% 20.2–26.0% 19.4–27.0%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 18.0% 16.4–19.8% 15.9–20.4% 15.5–20.8% 14.7–21.7%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 13.0% 11.6–14.6% 11.2–15.1% 10.8–15.5% 10.2–16.3%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 11.0% 9.7–12.5% 9.3–13.0% 9.0–13.4% 8.4–14.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 62 58–66 57–67 56–68 54–70
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 43 39–47 38–48 38–49 36–50
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 34 30–37 29–38 29–39 27–40
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 24 21–27 21–28 20–29 19–30
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 20 18–23 17–24 16–25 15–26

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 1.2% 99.1%  
56 2% 98%  
57 4% 96%  
58 7% 92%  
59 7% 85%  
60 11% 78%  
61 13% 67%  
62 13% 54% Median
63 12% 41%  
64 10% 29%  
65 7% 19%  
66 5% 12%  
67 4% 7%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.6% 0.9%  
71 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.6% 99.7%  
37 1.4% 99.1%  
38 3% 98%  
39 5% 94%  
40 7% 89% Last Result
41 12% 82%  
42 14% 70%  
43 13% 56% Median
44 13% 43%  
45 11% 30%  
46 8% 19%  
47 6% 11%  
48 3% 5%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.7% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.1% 100%  
27 0.5% 99.8%  
28 1.4% 99.4%  
29 3% 98%  
30 6% 95%  
31 11% 88% Last Result
32 12% 77%  
33 15% 65%  
34 14% 50% Median
35 13% 36%  
36 10% 22%  
37 6% 13%  
38 4% 7%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.8% 1.3%  
41 0.3% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.3% 99.9%  
19 1.1% 99.6%  
20 3% 98.6%  
21 7% 96%  
22 12% 89%  
23 16% 76%  
24 17% 60% Median
25 16% 43%  
26 12% 27% Last Result
27 8% 16%  
28 4% 8%  
29 2% 3%  
30 0.8% 1.2%  
31 0.3% 0.4%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 0.5% 99.9% Last Result
16 2% 99.4%  
17 5% 97%  
18 10% 92%  
19 16% 82%  
20 20% 66% Median
21 17% 46%  
22 13% 29%  
23 8% 16%  
24 4% 7%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.8% 1.1%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 106 100% 102–111 101–112 100–113 98–115
Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 111 105 100% 101–109 99–110 98–111 96–113
Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 102 95 88% 91–100 90–101 89–102 87–104
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 88 12% 83–92 82–93 81–94 79–96
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 86 5% 82–90 81–91 80–93 77–94
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 82 0.3% 78–86 77–88 76–89 74–91
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 76 0% 72–81 71–82 70–83 68–85
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 67 0% 63–71 62–72 61–74 59–75
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 62 0% 58–66 57–67 56–68 54–70
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 43 0% 39–47 38–48 38–49 36–50

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0.1% 99.9%  
97 0.2% 99.9%  
98 0.5% 99.7%  
99 0.9% 99.2%  
100 2% 98%  
101 3% 96%  
102 4% 93%  
103 8% 89%  
104 8% 81%  
105 12% 73%  
106 11% 61% Median
107 14% 50%  
108 10% 36%  
109 9% 26%  
110 7% 18%  
111 4% 10%  
112 3% 6% Last Result
113 1.2% 3%  
114 1.0% 2%  
115 0.4% 0.6%  
116 0.1% 0.2%  
117 0.1% 0.1%  
118 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0.1% 100%  
95 0.1% 99.9%  
96 0.3% 99.8%  
97 0.8% 99.4%  
98 2% 98.6%  
99 3% 97%  
100 3% 94%  
101 6% 91%  
102 8% 85%  
103 11% 76%  
104 10% 65%  
105 13% 55% Median
106 11% 42%  
107 10% 31%  
108 8% 22%  
109 7% 14%  
110 4% 8%  
111 2% 4% Last Result
112 1.0% 2%  
113 0.6% 1.0%  
114 0.2% 0.4%  
115 0.1% 0.1%  
116 0% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0.1% 99.9%  
86 0.2% 99.8%  
87 0.4% 99.6%  
88 0.8% 99.2%  
89 2% 98%  
90 4% 97%  
91 5% 93%  
92 9% 88% Majority
93 8% 79%  
94 12% 71%  
95 10% 59%  
96 11% 49% Median
97 11% 38%  
98 8% 27%  
99 7% 19%  
100 5% 12%  
101 3% 6%  
102 2% 3% Last Result
103 0.9% 2%  
104 0.4% 0.7%  
105 0.2% 0.3%  
106 0.1% 0.1%  
107 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 0.4% 99.7%  
80 0.9% 99.3%  
81 2% 98% Last Result
82 3% 97%  
83 5% 94%  
84 7% 88%  
85 8% 81%  
86 11% 73%  
87 11% 62% Median
88 10% 51%  
89 12% 41%  
90 8% 29%  
91 9% 21%  
92 5% 12% Majority
93 4% 7%  
94 2% 3%  
95 0.8% 2%  
96 0.4% 0.7%  
97 0.2% 0.4%  
98 0.1% 0.1%  
99 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0.1% 99.9%  
77 0.3% 99.8%  
78 0.7% 99.5%  
79 1.0% 98.8%  
80 2% 98%  
81 5% 96%  
82 6% 91%  
83 6% 85%  
84 8% 78%  
85 14% 71%  
86 16% 57% Median
87 9% 41%  
88 9% 32%  
89 7% 23%  
90 7% 15%  
91 4% 9%  
92 2% 5% Majority
93 2% 3%  
94 0.7% 1.1%  
95 0.2% 0.4%  
96 0.1% 0.2%  
97 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
98 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.1% 99.9%  
73 0.2% 99.8%  
74 0.6% 99.6%  
75 0.9% 99.1%  
76 2% 98%  
77 3% 96%  
78 5% 92%  
79 8% 88%  
80 9% 80%  
81 11% 70%  
82 12% 59% Median
83 11% 47%  
84 12% 36%  
85 7% 23%  
86 7% 17% Last Result
87 5% 10%  
88 2% 5%  
89 2% 3%  
90 0.6% 1.3%  
91 0.4% 0.7%  
92 0.2% 0.3% Majority
93 0.1% 0.1%  
94 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 0.1% 99.9%  
68 0.4% 99.8%  
69 1.0% 99.4%  
70 1.2% 98%  
71 3% 97% Last Result
72 4% 94%  
73 7% 90%  
74 9% 82%  
75 10% 74%  
76 14% 64%  
77 11% 50% Median
78 12% 39%  
79 8% 27%  
80 8% 19%  
81 4% 11%  
82 3% 6%  
83 2% 4%  
84 0.9% 2%  
85 0.5% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.3%  
87 0.1% 0.1%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.6% 99.7%  
60 1.1% 99.2%  
61 2% 98%  
62 3% 96%  
63 6% 93%  
64 8% 87%  
65 9% 79%  
66 14% 70% Last Result
67 10% 56% Median
68 11% 47%  
69 12% 35%  
70 7% 23%  
71 6% 16%  
72 5% 10%  
73 2% 5%  
74 1.4% 3%  
75 0.7% 1.1%  
76 0.2% 0.4%  
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0.1% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.2% 99.9%  
54 0.6% 99.7%  
55 1.2% 99.1%  
56 2% 98%  
57 4% 96%  
58 7% 92%  
59 7% 85%  
60 11% 78%  
61 13% 67%  
62 13% 54% Median
63 12% 41%  
64 10% 29%  
65 7% 19%  
66 5% 12%  
67 4% 7%  
68 2% 3%  
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.6% 0.9%  
71 0.2% 0.3% Last Result
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.2% 99.9%  
36 0.6% 99.7%  
37 1.4% 99.1%  
38 3% 98%  
39 5% 94%  
40 7% 89% Last Result
41 12% 82%  
42 14% 70%  
43 13% 56% Median
44 13% 43%  
45 11% 30%  
46 8% 19%  
47 6% 11%  
48 3% 5%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.7% 1.1%  
51 0.3% 0.4%  
52 0.1% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations