Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA and ATV, 18–21 October 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.4–17.8% | 14.0–18.3% | 13.6–18.7% | 12.9–19.6% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.9–14.4% | 9.3–15.2% |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–52 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 36–52 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 38 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 24–37 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 18–27 | 17–29 |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |