Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 25 April–5 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.9–19.1% | 16.6–19.5% | 16.4–19.8% | 15.9–20.3% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 53 | 51–56 | 50–56 | 49–57 | 48–58 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 45 | 43–48 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 41–50 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 34 | 32–36 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 30–38 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 |