Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH and POLITIK LIVE, 9–11 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 27.6% | 26.3–28.9% | 25.9–29.2% | 25.6–29.6% | 25.0–30.2% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.4% | 22.3–24.7% | 21.9–25.1% | 21.6–25.4% | 21.1–26.0% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 20.4% | 19.3–21.6% | 19.0–21.9% | 18.7–22.2% | 18.2–22.8% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.4–13.2% | 11.1–13.5% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.4–10.1% | 8.2–10.3% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.7–11.0% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 5.1% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 52 | 49–54 | 49–55 | 48–56 | 47–57 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 39–49 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 38 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 0–12 |