Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH and POLITIK LIVE, 16–19 May 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 54 | 52–56 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 49–59 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 40–45 | 40–46 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 39 | 37–41 | 36–42 | 36–42 | 35–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 20 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 16 | 15–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |