Opinion Poll by OGM for KURIER, 20–23 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 29.0% | 27.2–30.8% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.2–31.8% | 25.4–32.8% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.9–25.2% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.7–26.5% |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.3–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 55 | 51–58 | 50–60 | 49–61 | 48–62 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 40–47 | 39–48 | 38–49 | 37–50 |
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 30–42 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 9 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |