Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA and ATV, 27–30 June 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 29.0% | 27.0–31.1% | 26.4–31.7% | 26.0–32.3% | 25.0–33.3% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 54 | 51–58 | 49–60 | 49–61 | 47–63 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 41 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 34–49 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 18 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 9 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |