Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 16 July 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 30.0% | 28.2–31.9% | 27.7–32.4% | 27.2–32.9% | 26.4–33.9% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 56 | 52–60 | 51–61 | 51–62 | 49–64 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–46 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 37 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 33–43 | 31–44 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |