Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 9–17 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 30.0% | 28.7–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.2–15.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 57 | 54–60 | 54–61 | 53–62 | 52–63 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 25 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |