Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 29–30 August 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 30.0% | 28.7–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 58 | 55–61 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 52–64 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 42 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 37–48 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |