Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 12–13 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.2–15.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 54 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 49–59 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 42 | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 36–41 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 25 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 23 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |