Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 19–20 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 53 | 51–56 | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 44 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |