Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 19–27 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 52 | 49–54 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 46 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |