Opinion Poll by OGM for KURIER, 23–28 September 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.3–29.8% | 25.8–30.3% | 25.4–30.7% | 24.6–31.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.5–23.7% | 20.1–24.2% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.0–25.4% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 22.0% | 20.5–23.7% | 20.1–24.2% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.0–25.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.4–11.9% | 7.9–12.6% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.4–11.9% | 7.9–12.6% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 53 | 50–56 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 15–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 |