Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 3–5 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 54 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 49–59 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 46 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 43–50 | 42–51 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |