Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 10–12 October 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 54 | 52–57 | 51–57 | 50–58 | 49–59 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 48 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 43–53 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 40–45 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 16–23 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |