Opinion Poll by IFDD for PULS 24, 26–28 October 2022

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 27.0% 25.5–28.7% 25.0–29.2% 24.6–29.6% 23.9–30.4%
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 25.0% 23.5–26.7% 23.1–27.1% 22.7–27.5% 22.0–28.3%
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 20.0% 18.6–21.5% 18.2–21.9% 17.9–22.3% 17.2–23.1%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 11.0% 10.0–12.3% 9.7–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 11.0% 10.0–12.3% 9.7–12.6% 9.4–12.9% 8.9–13.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 50 47–53 46–54 45–54 44–56
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 46 43–49 42–50 42–51 40–52
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 37 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 21 18–21 17–24 17–24 17–24
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 20 18–22 17–23 17–23 16–25

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.9% 99.7%  
45 2% 98.8%  
46 5% 97%  
47 9% 92%  
48 14% 82%  
49 16% 69%  
50 17% 53% Median
51 15% 36%  
52 10% 21%  
53 6% 12%  
54 3% 5%  
55 1.4% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100% Last Result
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.5% 99.8%  
41 2% 99.3%  
42 4% 98%  
43 7% 94%  
44 13% 87%  
45 16% 74%  
46 17% 58% Median
47 16% 41%  
48 11% 25%  
49 7% 14%  
50 4% 6%  
51 2% 3%  
52 0.6% 0.9%  
53 0.2% 0.3%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Österreichische Volkspartei page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.4% 99.9%  
32 2% 99.4%  
33 4% 98%  
34 9% 94%  
35 14% 85%  
36 18% 70%  
37 18% 52% Median
38 15% 34%  
39 10% 19%  
40 6% 9%  
41 2% 4%  
42 0.9% 1.2%  
43 0.3% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100% Last Result
16 0% 99.8%  
17 6% 99.8%  
18 22% 94%  
19 0.5% 72%  
20 11% 72%  
21 54% 60% Median
22 1.2% 7%  
23 0.6% 6%  
24 5% 5%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 1.0% 99.8%  
17 4% 98.9%  
18 12% 95%  
19 21% 83%  
20 24% 62% Median
21 19% 39%  
22 12% 19%  
23 5% 8%  
24 2% 2%  
25 0.4% 0.5%  
26 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
27 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 71 96 94% 92–99 91–100 91–101 89–103
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 81 90 27% 87–93 86–94 85–95 83–97
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei 111 86 3% 83–90 82–91 81–92 80–93
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei 102 83 0% 79–86 78–87 78–88 76–89
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 112 77 0% 74–80 73–81 72–82 70–84
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 66 70 0% 66–73 66–74 65–75 63–76
Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 97 57 0% 54–60 53–61 52–62 51–63
Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 86 57 0% 54–60 53–61 52–62 51–63
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 50 0% 47–53 46–54 45–54 44–56
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 37 0% 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100% Last Result
72 0% 100%  
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 100%  
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 100%  
86 0% 100%  
87 0.1% 100%  
88 0.2% 99.9%  
89 0.6% 99.7%  
90 1.5% 99.1%  
91 3% 98%  
92 6% 94% Majority
93 9% 89%  
94 12% 79%  
95 15% 67%  
96 15% 52% Median
97 13% 37%  
98 10% 24%  
99 7% 14%  
100 4% 7%  
101 2% 3%  
102 1.0% 1.5%  
103 0.4% 0.5%  
104 0.1% 0.2%  
105 0% 0.1%  
106 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100% Last Result
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0.5% 99.7%  
84 1.3% 99.2%  
85 3% 98%  
86 5% 95%  
87 8% 90%  
88 12% 82%  
89 14% 70%  
90 15% 57%  
91 14% 42% Median
92 11% 27% Majority
93 7% 16%  
94 5% 9%  
95 2% 4%  
96 1.0% 2%  
97 0.4% 0.6%  
98 0.1% 0.2%  
99 0% 0.1%  
100 0% 0%  

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0.1% 100%  
79 0.3% 99.9%  
80 0.8% 99.6%  
81 2% 98.7%  
82 4% 97%  
83 7% 93%  
84 10% 86%  
85 14% 76%  
86 15% 62%  
87 14% 47% Median
88 13% 33%  
89 9% 20%  
90 6% 11%  
91 3% 6%  
92 2% 3% Majority
93 0.6% 1.0%  
94 0.3% 0.4%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0% Last Result

Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs – Österreichische Volkspartei

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.1% 100%  
75 0.2% 99.9%  
76 0.6% 99.7%  
77 2% 99.1%  
78 3% 98%  
79 6% 94%  
80 9% 89%  
81 12% 79%  
82 15% 67%  
83 14% 51% Median
84 13% 37%  
85 10% 24%  
86 7% 14%  
87 4% 7%  
88 2% 3%  
89 0.9% 1.3%  
90 0.3% 0.5%  
91 0.1% 0.2%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.2% 99.9%  
70 0.5% 99.7%  
71 1.2% 99.2%  
72 3% 98%  
73 5% 95%  
74 8% 90%  
75 12% 82%  
76 14% 70%  
77 16% 56%  
78 14% 41% Median
79 11% 27%  
80 8% 16%  
81 4% 8%  
82 2% 4%  
83 1.0% 2%  
84 0.4% 0.5%  
85 0.1% 0.2%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0%  
98 0% 0%  
99 0% 0%  
100 0% 0%  
101 0% 0%  
102 0% 0%  
103 0% 0%  
104 0% 0%  
105 0% 0%  
106 0% 0%  
107 0% 0%  
108 0% 0%  
109 0% 0%  
110 0% 0%  
111 0% 0%  
112 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.2% 100%  
63 0.5% 99.8%  
64 1.2% 99.3%  
65 3% 98%  
66 5% 95% Last Result
67 9% 90%  
68 12% 81%  
69 15% 69%  
70 16% 54% Median
71 14% 38%  
72 10% 24%  
73 7% 14%  
74 4% 7%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.9% 1.4%  
77 0.3% 0.5%  
78 0.1% 0.2%  
79 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei – Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.3% 99.9%  
51 1.0% 99.6%  
52 3% 98.5%  
53 5% 96%  
54 9% 91%  
55 13% 82%  
56 16% 69%  
57 16% 53% Median
58 14% 37%  
59 10% 23%  
60 7% 13%  
61 4% 6%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.7% 1.0%  
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0%  
91 0% 0%  
92 0% 0% Majority
93 0% 0%  
94 0% 0%  
95 0% 0%  
96 0% 0%  
97 0% 0% Last Result

Österreichische Volkspartei – NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.4% 99.9%  
51 1.0% 99.5%  
52 2% 98%  
53 5% 96%  
54 8% 91%  
55 12% 83%  
56 16% 71%  
57 16% 55%  
58 14% 39% Median
59 12% 25%  
60 7% 13%  
61 4% 7%  
62 2% 3%  
63 0.7% 1.0%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0%  
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0% Last Result

Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100% Last Result
41 0% 100%  
42 0.1% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.9%  
44 0.9% 99.7%  
45 2% 98.8%  
46 5% 97%  
47 9% 92%  
48 14% 82%  
49 16% 69%  
50 17% 53% Median
51 15% 36%  
52 10% 21%  
53 6% 12%  
54 3% 5%  
55 1.4% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.2%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Österreichische Volkspartei

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.1% 100%  
31 0.4% 99.9%  
32 2% 99.4%  
33 4% 98%  
34 9% 94%  
35 14% 85%  
36 18% 70%  
37 18% 52% Median
38 15% 34%  
39 10% 19%  
40 6% 9%  
41 2% 4%  
42 0.9% 1.2%  
43 0.3% 0.4%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations