Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 21–23 November 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.2–15.0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 1.0% | 0.8–1.4% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 48 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–53 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 45–49 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 42–51 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 37 | 35–39 | 34–40 | 34–40 | 33–42 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 24 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 18 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |