Opinion Poll by Market for Der Standard, 3–5 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.7% | 26.7–30.8% | 26.2–31.4% | 25.7–32.0% | 24.8–33.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 26.7% | 24.8–28.8% | 24.3–29.4% | 23.8–29.9% | 22.9–30.9% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.8% | 19.0–22.7% | 18.5–23.2% | 18.1–23.7% | 17.3–24.7% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.9% | 9.6–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% | 9.0–13.3% | 8.4–14.1% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.2% | 7.5–13.0% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 47–62 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 50 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 32–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 20 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 15–26 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |