Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 5–9 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 27.0% | 25.3–28.9% | 24.8–29.4% | 24.3–29.8% | 23.5–30.7% |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.4% | 23.4–28.8% | 22.6–29.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 51 | 48–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 49 | 46–53 | 45–54 | 44–55 | 42–57 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 36–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 33–47 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 14–24 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |