Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA and ATV, 12–15 December 2022
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.5% | 24.6–28.6% | 24.0–29.2% | 23.5–29.7% | 22.6–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.5% | 22.6–26.5% | 22.1–27.1% | 21.6–27.6% | 20.8–28.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.5% | 20.7–24.5% | 20.2–25.0% | 19.7–25.5% | 18.9–26.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% | 9.2–13.6% | 8.6–14.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 11.2% | 9.9–12.8% | 9.6–13.2% | 9.2–13.6% | 8.6–14.4% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 47–54 | 46–55 | 45–56 | 43–58 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 47 | 43–50 | 42–52 | 41–52 | 39–54 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 39–46 | 38–48 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |