Opinion Poll by INSA for eXXpress, 2–5 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.9% | 24.5–31.8% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.4–23.7% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.5–24.7% | 18.8–25.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 53 | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 48 | 44–51 | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–55 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 38–46 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 35–49 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |