Opinion Poll by Unique Research for profil, 16–19 January 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.0–30.1% | 25.5–30.7% | 25.0–31.2% | 24.1–32.3% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.9–14.4% | 9.3–15.2% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.0–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 54 | 50–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 | 46–62 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 39–54 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 23 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
MFG–Österreich Menschen–Freiheit–Grundrechte | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |