Opinion Poll by OGM for KURIER, 24 April–4 May 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.8–29.2% | 26.5–29.6% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.6–30.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.9–24.1% | 21.6–24.5% | 21.3–24.8% | 20.8–25.3% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 20.0% | 19.0–21.1% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 17.9–22.2% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.7% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.7% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7.0% | 6.3–7.7% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 47–58 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 41–46 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–48 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 37 | 35–40 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |