Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA, ATV and PULS 24, 19–22 June 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 30.0% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.8% | 26.9–33.3% | 26.0–34.3% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 24.0% | 22.1–26.0% | 21.6–26.6% | 21.2–27.1% | 20.3–28.1% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 57 | 53–61 | 52–63 | 51–64 | 49–66 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 46 | 42–50 | 41–51 | 40–52 | 38–54 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 38–46 | 37–47 | 36–48 | 35–50 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 14–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |