Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 26 June–5 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 53 | 50–56 | 49–57 | 49–57 | 48–59 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 47 | 45–50 | 44–51 | 43–51 | 42–53 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 37–42 | 36–43 | 36–43 | 35–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |