Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 3–12 July 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 30.0% | 28.7–31.3% | 28.3–31.7% | 28.0–32.1% | 27.4–32.7% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 58 | 55–61 | 55–61 | 54–62 | 53–63 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 44 | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 44 | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 40–49 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |