Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 2–4 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 16.2% 30.0% 28.2–31.9% 27.7–32.4% 27.2–32.9% 26.4–33.9%
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 21.2% 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
Österreichische Volkspartei 37.5% 19.0% 17.5–20.7% 17.1–21.1% 16.7–21.6% 16.0–22.4%
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 8.1% 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 13.9% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs N/A 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.1% 1.1–3.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs 31 57 53–61 52–62 51–63 50–65
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs 40 51 48–55 47–56 46–57 44–59
Österreichische Volkspartei 71 36 33–39 32–40 31–41 30–43
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum 15 19 17–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative 26 15 13–17 12–18 12–19 11–20
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs N/A 0 0 0 0 0