Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for APA and ATV, 9–12 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 32.0% | 29.9–34.2% | 29.4–34.8% | 28.9–35.3% | 27.9–36.4% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 62 | 58–66 | 57–68 | 56–69 | 54–71 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 35–50 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 41 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–48 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 14–21 | 13–23 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |