Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 16–18 October 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.8–25.3% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.6–26.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 55 | 52–58 | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 42–50 | 41–51 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 37–43 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 |