Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 6–8 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 25.0% | 23.8–26.3% | 23.4–26.6% | 23.2–26.9% | 22.6–27.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 56 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 52–61 | 50–62 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 48 | 45–51 | 45–52 | 44–52 | 43–54 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–44 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |