Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 20–22 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.7% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 55 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 50 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 46–54 | 44–55 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–20 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |