Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 27–29 November 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 24.0% | 22.3–25.8% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.4–26.7% | 20.7–27.6% |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 19.0% | 17.5–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.0–22.4% |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 59 | 55–63 | 54–64 | 54–65 | 52–66 |
Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 46 | 42–49 | 41–50 | 41–51 | 39–53 |
Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 36 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 32–41 | 30–42 |
NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 25 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 21–29 | 20–30 |
Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–8 |