Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 20–27 December 2023
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.4–30.7% | 27.1–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 56 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 52–61 | 50–62 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 44 | 42–47 | 41–48 | 40–48 | 39–50 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |