Opinion Poll by OGM, 10–12 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.0% | 27.2–30.8% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.2–31.8% | 25.4–32.8% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 25.0% | 23.3–26.8% | 22.8–27.3% | 22.4–27.8% | 21.6–28.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.4–22.7% | 19.0–23.2% | 18.6–23.6% | 17.8–24.5% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 56 | 52–59 | 51–60 | 50–61 | 49–63 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 48 | 45–51 | 44–53 | 43–53 | 41–55 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 36–45 | 34–47 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |