Opinion Poll by Triple M for News, 12–22 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 31.0% | 29.0–33.2% | 28.4–33.8% | 27.9–34.3% | 26.9–35.3% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.2–25.0% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.2–26.0% | 19.4–27.0% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.3–21.9% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.4–22.9% | 16.6–23.9% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 59 | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 | 51–69 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 44 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 38–50 | 37–52 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 | 31–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–25 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–20 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 12–23 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |