Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 29–31 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 51 | 49–54 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 46–56 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 43 | 41–46 | 40–46 | 40–47 | 39–48 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 39–44 | 39–45 | 38–45 | 37–46 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |