Opinion Poll by OGM, 22–31 January 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.5–27.6% | 24.2–28.0% | 23.6–28.6% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 22.0% | 20.9–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.3–23.9% | 19.7–24.4% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.8–23.4% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 14.0% | 13.1–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.3–13.9% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 2.0% | 1.7–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 50 | 48–53 | 47–53 | 47–54 | 45–55 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 42 | 40–45 | 40–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 38–43 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 27 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |