Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 5–7 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 26.7–29.3% | 26.4–29.7% | 26.1–30.0% | 25.5–30.7% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.9–22.2% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.3–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 54 | 51–56 | 51–57 | 50–57 | 49–59 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 40 | 38–42 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 40 | 38–42 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 36–45 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 23 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–27 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |