Opinion Poll by Market for ÖSTERREICH, 12–14 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.4–28.7% | 25.1–29.0% | 24.5–29.6% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 20.0% | 18.9–21.2% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.3–21.8% | 17.8–22.4% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 52 | 49–54 | 48–55 | 48–55 | 47–57 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 40–44 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 38–47 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 38 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 21 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–7 |