Opinion Poll by Peter Hajek for ATV and PULS 24, 26–29 February 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 16.2% | 29.9% | 27.9–32.0% | 27.3–32.6% | 26.8–33.2% | 25.8–34.2% |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 21.2% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.3–25.0% | 18.4–26.0% |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 37.5% | 21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.3–24.0% | 17.5–24.9% |
| Bierpartei | 0.0% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 13.9% | 8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs | 31 | 57 | 52–60 | 51–62 | 50–63 | 49–65 |
| Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs | 40 | 42 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–49 |
| Österreichische Volkspartei | 71 | 39 | 36–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–47 |
| Bierpartei | 0 | 16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum | 15 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Die Grünen–Die Grüne Alternative | 26 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |